一、引　言 ................................................................................................ 1

1.1 報(bào)告概述 .............................................................................................1

1.2 糧食安全預(yù)警能力建設(shè) ........................................................................1

1.3 數(shù)據(jù)與方法概述 ...................................................................................3

二、全球農(nóng)氣與農(nóng)情遙感監(jiān)測(cè) ........................................................5

2.1 全球農(nóng)氣條件 ......................................................................................5

2.2 全球農(nóng)情狀況 ......................................................................................8

三、2018年全球大宗糧油作物產(chǎn)量遙感監(jiān)測(cè).......................11

3.1 全球大宗糧油作物產(chǎn)量 ......................................................................11

3.2 中國(guó)大宗糧油作物產(chǎn)量 ......................................................................13

四、2019年大宗糧油作物生產(chǎn)形勢(shì)預(yù)測(cè) .................................18

4.1 全球大宗糧油作物生產(chǎn)形勢(shì)預(yù)測(cè) .......................................................18

4.2 中國(guó)大宗糧油作物生產(chǎn)形勢(shì)預(yù)測(cè) .......................................................20

五、全球糧食安全形勢(shì) .....................................................................26

5.1 全球大宗糧油作物供應(yīng)形勢(shì) ...............................................................26

5.2 全球主要出口國(guó)供應(yīng)形勢(shì) ..................................................................27

5.3 全球人均自產(chǎn)糧食數(shù)量變化趨勢(shì)分析 ................................................30

5.4 中國(guó)大宗糧油作物進(jìn)口來(lái)源國(guó)供應(yīng)形勢(shì)變化 .....................................32

5.5 2019年中國(guó)糧油作物進(jìn)口來(lái)源分析與進(jìn)出口預(yù)測(cè) .............................33

六、非洲農(nóng)業(yè)前景與糧食安全形勢(shì) ............................................35

6.1 非洲農(nóng)業(yè)的發(fā)展與進(jìn)步 ......................................................................35

6.2 糧食產(chǎn)量變化趨勢(shì)國(guó)別分析 ...............................................................36

6.3 非洲糧食安全形勢(shì)變化趨勢(shì) ...............................................................38

6.4 2018—2019年非洲各國(guó)糧食安全形勢(shì) ...............................................41

6.5 非洲后備耕地資源及利用現(xiàn)狀 ...........................................................42

七、主要結(jié)論 ......................................................................................... 47

附　表　全球和中國(guó)大宗糧油作物產(chǎn)量 ..................................49

附　錄 ........................................................................................................ 57

附錄A 監(jiān)測(cè)期 .......................................................................................... 57

附錄B 數(shù)據(jù) ..............................................................................................58

附錄C 方法 ..............................................................................................60

附錄D 全球農(nóng)業(yè)氣象條件遙感監(jiān)測(cè) ..........................................................69

附錄E 全球大宗糧油作物主產(chǎn)區(qū)農(nóng)情遙感監(jiān)測(cè) ........................................80

附錄F 中國(guó)大宗糧油作物主產(chǎn)區(qū)農(nóng)情遙感監(jiān)測(cè) ........................................94

附錄G 參考文獻(xiàn) ....................................................................................114

致　謝 ...................................................................................................... 115